Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.22%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Linfield in this match.