Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Coleraine in this match.