Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.