NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
3 - 2
Ballymena

Fitzpatrick (50'), Wallace (58'), Malone (67' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gibson (23'), Keeley (61')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 4-2 Carrick
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 1-1 Ballymena
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
47.06% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.37% (0.004999999999999 0)28.57% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)45.48% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.19% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)67.82% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)19.44% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.27% (0.012 0.01)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)29.41% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)65.41% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 47.06%
    Ballymena United 28.57%
    Draw 24.36%
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 28.57%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
2-2
Glenavon
McElroy (4'), Gibson (32')
McCullough (10'), Redman (33')
Campbell (45+1'), Prendergast (90+4')
Birney (31')
Bradley (55'), Doyle (60')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
3-1
Ballymena
Birney (44'), Campbell (73', 75')
Snoddy (24'), Birney (28'), Clarke (88'), Garrett (90+2')
Wallace (55')
Nelson (25')
Kelly (40'), Millar (43'), Redman (65'), Nelson (70')
Millar (90+2'), Millar (90+2')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
3-3
Glenavon
Place (12'), Keeley (45+1'), McElroy (80')
Strain (45'), Keeley (56'), Redman (57'), Millar (70'), Place (90+2')
Keeley (56')
Fitzpatrick (7'), Campbell (46'), McCloskey (69')
Birney (40'), Wallace (45'), Fitzpatrick (56')
Wallace (56'), Garrett (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
0-1
Ballymena

Stafford (46'), O'Connor (69'), Singleton (80')
Kane (34')
Strain (56')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
1-1
Glenavon
Strain (90+2')
Rodgers (86')
Fitzpatrick (51')
Ward (31'), Wallace (50'), O'Connor (69')