Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.