NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16

Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
2 - 0
Portadown

Anderson (60'), Stewart (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Newry City AFC 4-1 Carrick
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Portadown

All competitions

Last Game: Portadown 0-5 Larne
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Portadown
69.06% ( -0.76)	18.47% ( 0.38)	12.47% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 49.62% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.16% (

-0.76)

41.84% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.75% (

-0.77)

64.25% (

0.77)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.98% (

-0.41)

11.02% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.68% (

-0.91)

35.32% (

0.91)

Portadown Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.76% (

0.15)

44.24% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.68% (

0.12)

80.32% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 69.06%

Portadown 12.47%

Draw 18.47%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Portadown
2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.89% Total : 69.06%	1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.47%	0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.25% Total : 12.47%