Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.