Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cliftonville in this match.