Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.