Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.