NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 1
Glentoran

Glynn (69'), Prendergast (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wilson (45+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-2 Glenavon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Glentoran

All competitions
Last Game: Glentoran 3-1 Dungannon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawGlentoran
20.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)22.58% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.7% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)67.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.11%
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)15.63% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.36% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)44.64% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 20.95%
    Glentoran 56.46%
    Draw 22.58%
GlenavonDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 20.95%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.84% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 56.46%

Head to Head
May 10, 2022 7.45pm
Glentoran
2-0
Glenavon
McMenamin (48'), Donnelly (72')

Wallace (78')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
2-4
Glentoran
Snoddy (9'), Campbell (61')
McCloskey (73')
McMenamin (20', 80', 90+6'), Donnelly (78')
Marshall (35'), McDaid (45+2'), McCarey (73'), McMenamin (90+4')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Glentoran
2-0
Glenavon
McMenamin (13'), Donnelly (34')

Snoddy (26'), Singleton (89')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
1-2
Glentoran
Fitzpatrick (70')
Garrett (30'), Snoddy (85')
McCullough (16'), Donnelly (72' pen.)
Marron (81'), Burns (85')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Glentoran
3-1
Glenavon
Donnelly (27', 83'), Gorman (39')
Bigirimana (23'), Donnelly (62')
McCullough (25' og.)
Singleton (18'), Snoddy (23'), Doyle (61'), McCloskey (76')