Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.