Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.