NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stangmore Park
  • Ethan McGee 29' goal
  • James Knowles 67' goal

Dungannon Swifts vs Newry City AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
Linfield 4 - 0 Dungannon
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
James Knowles

Newry City AFC

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
Larne 2 - 0 Newry City AFC
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
James Teelan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.

Result

Dungannon Swifts 46.09% (+0.42)
Draw 23.17% (+0.04)
Newry City AFC 30.74% (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.49% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.3% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 38.69% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 39% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 61% (+0.43)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5 82.84% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.15%
Over 1.5 52.6% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.4% (-0.01)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5 75.43% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 24.57% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 40.94% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 59.06% (+0.67)

Score analysis

Dungannon Swifts 46.09%
Draw 23.16%
Newry City AFC 30.74%
Dungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.43% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 6.55% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.4% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.85% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.38% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.7% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 46.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.21% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.16%
Newry City AFC
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.92% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.74%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lorcan Forde 61' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 27, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Paul McElroy 49'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stangmore Park (Dungannon)
  • Paul McElroy 86' goal
  • Johnny Lafferty 89' goal
  • goal Declan Carville 53'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 8, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stangmore Park (Dungannon)
  • Paul McElroy 87' goal
  • goal Declan Carville 78'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds (Newry)
  • Stephen Hughes 68' goal
  • Stephen Hughes 72' goal
  • goal Jarlath O'Rourke 89'