Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
2 - 1
Dungannon

O'Neill (50', 82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mayse (44')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 0-5 Larne
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 0-2 Cliftonville
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 90.49%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 2.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.91%) and 4-0 (11.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.38%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawDungannon Swifts
90.49% (0.37700000000001 0.38)7.16% (-0.246 -0.25)2.35% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 33.94% (-0.459 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.33% (0.441 0.44)27.67% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.67% (0.55 0.55)48.33% (-0.54799999999999 -0.55)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.38% (0.131 0.13)3.62% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.36% (0.423 0.42)15.64% (-0.422 -0.42)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.21% (-0.525 -0.52)64.79% (0.527 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.09% (-0.2291 -0.23)92.91% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Larne 90.47%
    Dungannon Swifts 2.35%
    Draw 7.16%
LarneDrawDungannon Swifts
3-0 @ 14.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 12.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 11.85% (0.18 0.18)
5-0 @ 7.87% (0.201 0.2)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-1 @ 5.61% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 5.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
6-0 @ 4.35% (0.155 0.16)
5-1 @ 3.41% (0.025 0.03)
7-0 @ 2.06% (0.095 0.09)
6-1 @ 1.89% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 90.47%
1-1 @ 3.38% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 2.35% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 1.22% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 7.16%
0-1 @ 1.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 2.35%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
4-0
Dungannon
Bonis (5'), Randall (25'), Millar (88'), Cosgrove (90')
Doherty (65')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
0-2
Larne
Herron (45'), Nasseri (84')
Doherty (43')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Larne
0-1
Dungannon

Doherty (32'), Balmer (61'), Bonis (68'), Hale (87'), Scott (88'), Kelly (90+1')
Mayse (3')
McKendry (35'), Devlin (90'), Campbell (90+1')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Dungannon
2-4
Larne
McBrien (9'), Mayse (27')
Mayse (31')
Lynch (3', 14'), Randall (17'), McDaid (55')
McDaid (36'), Randall (47')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dungannon
0-2
Larne

Wilson (12'), McAleer (42'), Mayse (73'), Carvill (85')
McDaid (39'), Donnelly (81')
Hughes (16'), Jarvis (68'), Herron (73')