Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 75.32%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Coleraine in this match.