NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
2 - 0
Crusaders

Jarvis (12'), McLaughlin (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 2-0 Dungannon
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-2 Glentoran
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
36.04% (-0.706 -0.71)25.47% (0.142 0.14)38.49% (0.565 0.56)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-0.544 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (-0.68 -0.68)47.86% (0.681 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (-0.628 -0.63)70.04% (0.63000000000001 0.63)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (-0.711 -0.71)25.82% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.975 -0.98)60.78% (0.977 0.98)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)58.91% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 36.04%
    Crusaders 38.49%
    Draw 25.47%
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.105 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 36.04%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.247 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.172 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.49%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Coleraine
1-2
Crusaders
O'Donnell (39')
Snelgrove (1'), Lowry (14')
Weir (25')
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Coleraine
1-4
Crusaders
Carson (90+1')
Carson (34')
Lecky (17'), Heatley (37'), Larmour (42'), Winchester (47')
Heatley (27'), Joe Burns (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-0
Coleraine
Lowry (26')
(61'), (81')

Bradley (78'), O'Donnell (90+3')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Coleraine
0-0
Crusaders

Shevlin (69'), McLaughlin (90'), (90+3')

Clarke (44'), (73'), (90+3')
Oct 4, 2021 7.45pm
Crusaders
0-2
Coleraine

Lecky (19'), Heatley (29'), McMurray (59'), Frazer (83')
Bradley (10'), Carson (61')
Carson (33'), Shevlin (61'), Traynor (72')