Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Glentoran
45.56% ( -0.62)	25.96% ( 0.44)	28.48% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

-1.67)

52.22% (

1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.07% (

-1.46)

73.93% (

1.46)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

-0.99)

22.87% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

-1.49)

56.62% (

1.49)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.73)

32.97% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45% (

-0.82)

69.55% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 45.56%

Glentoran 28.48%

Draw 25.95%

Crusaders	Draw	Glentoran
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.56%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.48%