Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.