NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 2
Linfield

FT(HT: 0-1)
McKee (28'), Callacher (51')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Ballymena
Monday, November 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Linfield

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 2-1 Glenavon
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.96%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
13.67% (-0.759 -0.76)21.24% (-0.651 -0.65)65.09% (1.413 1.41)
Both teams to score 44.21% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (1.074 1.07)50.95% (-1.071 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17% (0.935 0.93)72.82% (-0.93400000000001 -0.93)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.97% (-0.491 -0.49)48.03% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.74% (-0.361 -0.36)83.25% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.08% (0.816 0.82)14.92% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.69% (1.529 1.53)43.31% (-1.528 -1.53)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 13.67%
    Linfield 65.08%
    Draw 21.24%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 5.26% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-1 @ 3.67% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-0 @ 1.93% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 13.67%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 13.63% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 12.96% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.22% (0.34 0.34)
1-3 @ 6.03% (0.168 0.17)
0-4 @ 3.91% (0.266 0.27)
1-4 @ 2.87% (0.158 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.031 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.49% (0.14 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.089 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 65.08%

How you voted: Ballymena vs Linfield

Ballymena United
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Linfield
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
0-4
Linfield

Henderson (7'), Graham (34'), (59')
Cooper (39'), Millar (45'), Shields (59' pen.), McDaid (62')
Clarke (12')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Ballymena
0-2
Linfield

Graham (72')
McCullough (35' og.), Shields (73' pen.)
Mulgrew (67')
Manzinga (39')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Linfield
1-0
Ballymena
Manzinga (15')
Mulgrew (81')

Rodgers (24')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Linfield
1-0
Ballymena
Manzinga (77')
Newberry (29'), Palmer (85')

Redman (19'), Wilson (35'), Kane (54')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Linfield
2-1
Ballymena
Haughey (16'), Lavery (65')
M (54')
McCartan (30')