Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.