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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 3
Crusaders

FT(HT: 0-2)
Heatley (10'), Forsythe (43', 50')
Clarke (15')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-0 Carrick
Monday, December 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Cliftonville
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
29.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 25.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 45.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)49.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.004999999999999 0)71.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)30.81% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)67.09% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 29.31%
    Crusaders 45.35%
    Draw 25.33%
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.31%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.68%
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.35%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Carrick
4-3
Crusaders
Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
Larmour (64')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Lecky (59'), Kennedy (90+6')
Lecky (63' og.)
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
0-0
Carrick

O'Rourke (28'), Heatley (56'), Caddell (58')

Cushley (51'), Gordon (57'), Cherry (61')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
0-2
Crusaders

Anderson (51'), Kelly (53'), Cushley (55'), Surgenor (58'), Ervin (86')
Heatley (69'), Kennedy (75')
(29')
Apr 6, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Crusaders
Friel (64')
Cherry (67'), Friel (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield19132438162241
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2010372723433
3CliftonvilleCliftonville199462719831
4PortadownPortadown199462719831
5GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
6CrusadersCrusaders188372323027
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena1990102223-127
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall2034132048-2813


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