NIFL Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • goal Paul Heatley 10'
  • goal Jordan Forsythe 43'
  • goal Jordan Forsythe 50'

Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 5.30pm
Larne 0 - 0 Carrick
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
David Cushley

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Crusaders 3 - 0 Cliftonville
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Philip Lowry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Carrick Rangers 29.31% (+0.01)
Draw 25.33% (-0.01)
Crusaders 45.35% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.16% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.75% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.25% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.69% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 71.31% (-0.01)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 69.18% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.81% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.09% (-0.01)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 78.29% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.71%
Over 1.5 45.13% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.87% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 29.31%
Draw 25.33%
Crusaders 45.35%
Carrick Rangers
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 7.08% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
Crusaders
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.68%
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.35%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Curtis Allen 5' goal
  • David Cushley 15' goal
  • Curtis Allen 55' goal
  • Emmett McGuckin 65' goal
  • goal Paul Heatley 27'
  • goal Ross Clarke 45'+2'
  • goal Philip Lowry 57'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adam Lecky 59' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 90'+6' goal
  • goal Adam Lecky 63' (OG)
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 28' yellowcard
  • Paul Heatley 56' yellowcard
  • Declan Caddell 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Cushley 51'
  • yellowcard Steven Gordon 57'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 61'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lloyd Anderson 51' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kelly 53' yellowcard
  • David Cushley 55' yellowcard
  • Mark Surgenor 58' yellowcard
  • Jim Ervin 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 29'
  • goal Paul Heatley 69'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 75'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Cathair Friel 64' goal
  • Kyle Cherry 67' yellowcard
  • Cathair Friel 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Kelly 10' goal
  • Michael Smith 39' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 63' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 12'
  • yellowcard Chris Hegarty 25'
  • goal Chris Hegarty 48'
  • goal Michael Ruddy 56'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 76'