NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 21

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 0
Cliftonville

Turner (15'), Heatley (36'), Owens (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Cliftonville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions

Last Game: Coleraine 2-0 Crusaders
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Cliftonville

All competitions

Last Game: Cliftonville 1-0 Glentoran
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Cliftonville
53.2% ( 0.9)	23.55% ( -0.53)	23.25% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 54.51% (

1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.76% (

1.87)

46.24% (

-1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.47% (

1.74)

68.53% (

-1.74)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

1.03)

17.33% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.3% (

1.78)

47.7% (

-1.78)

Cliftonville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.94% (

0.7)

34.06% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

0.74)

70.75% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 53.2%

Cliftonville 23.25%

Draw 23.55%

Crusaders	Draw	Cliftonville
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.78% Total : 53.2%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.25%