MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 05:18:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 30
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
2 - 3
Larne

Cherry (64', 90+1' pen.)
Forsythe (45+1'), McLaughlin (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ryan (61'), O'Neill (75', 79')
Bolger (33'), A (33'), Bonis (65')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Carrick
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-3 Larne
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
15.41% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06) 22.03% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 62.56% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)50.81% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)72.69% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.59% (-0.115 -0.12)45.4% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.74% (-0.093 -0.09)81.25% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.76% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 15.41%
    Larne 62.55%
    Draw 22.02%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-1 @ 4.11% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.41%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 13.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.54% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 3.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 62.55%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 5.30pm
Larne
0-0
Carrick

Doherty (45+1')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Larne
Carson (14')
Cherry (39'), Ervin (84')
Lynch (38')
(33'), Hughes (62'), (84'), (88')
Bolger (9'), Scott (85')
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Cushley (32' pen.)
Ervin (50')
Cosgrove (38'), Hale (45+2'), McDaid (85')
(45'), (48'), (74')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Larne
0-0
Carrick

Oluwya (38'), Mitchell (65')

Surgenor (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield19132438162241
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2010372723433
3CliftonvilleCliftonville199462719831
4PortadownPortadown199462719831
5GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
6CrusadersCrusaders188372323027
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena1990102223-127
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall2034132048-2813


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