NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds
Larne

Ballymena
0 - 3
Larne

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonis (40'), Strain (46' og.), Ryan (73')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 1-3 Glentoran
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 2-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLarne
15.68% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)23.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)61% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 43.05% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (-0.073 -0.07)55.17% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (-0.061 -0.06)76.41% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.35% (-0.111 -0.11)47.65% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.03% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)82.97% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.76% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.54% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)48.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 15.69%
    Larne 60.99%
    Draw 23.31%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLarne
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.69%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 14.62% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 12.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.28% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 60.99%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
3-0
Ballymena
O'Neill (42', 79'), Watson (90')
O'Neill (15'), Randall (45'), (85')

McCullough (48')
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
1-3
Ballymena
Doherty (18')
Watson (57'), Doherty (64')
Parkhouse (4', 69'), Millar (58' pen.)
Dec 10, 2021 7.45pm
Ballymena
2-1
Larne
Keeley (58'), McElroy (75')
Winchester (26'), Barr (54'), Millar (89')
McDaid (51')
Hale (52'), Sule (56'), Randall (86'), Lynch (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-3
Larne

Loughran (30'), Winchester (38'), Keeley (53')
Randall (2', 36'), Nasseri (64')
Herron (39'), Balmer (42')
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Ballymena
1-1
Larne
Watson (35' og.)
Keeley (72')
Hale (68')
Mitchell (90+3')