Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
0 - 0
Crusaders

FT
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Glentoran 0-1 Larne
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
LarneDrawCrusaders
53.93% (1.128 1.13)24.57% (-0.205 -0.2)21.5% (-0.926 -0.93)
Both teams to score 49.12% (-0.578 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (-0.162 -0.16)52.28% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.139 -0.14)73.98% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (0.381 0.38)19.32% (-0.383 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (0.625 0.63)51.09% (-0.627 -0.63)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (-1.009 -1.01)39.11% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (-0.959 -0.96)75.82% (0.958 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Larne 53.93%
    Crusaders 21.5%
    Draw 24.57%
LarneDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 10.21% (0.306 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.233 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.93%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 21.5%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
4-1
Crusaders
Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Bolger (48')
Lowry (90+2')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-2
Larne
Wilson (89')
McDaid (59', 72')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Larne
1-2
Crusaders
Jarvis (74')
(45'), (59'), (66')
Larmour (68'), Lecky (82')
(59'), (86')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Larne
1-0
Crusaders
Lynch (77')
Herron (22'), Sule (24'), Hale (90+4')

Wilson (12'), Joe Burns (28'), Heatley (52')