Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.