NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20

Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Mourneview Park

Glenavon
4 - 2
Crusaders

Campbell (36', 50'), Fitzpatrick (40'), O'Rourke (87' og.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lowry (48'), Joe Burns (70')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Portadown
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Crusaders

All competitions

Last Game: Carrick 0-3 Crusaders
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Crusaders
23.78% ( -0.01)	23.82% ( -0)	52.39% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.1% (

0.01)

46.89% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85% (

69.14% (

-0)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04% (

-0)

33.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

-0)

70.62% (

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

17.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35% (

0.01)

48.64% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 23.78%

Crusaders 52.39%

Draw 23.82%

Glenavon	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.23% Total : 23.78%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.82%	0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.56% Total : 52.39%