NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 0
Crusaders

Fitzpatrick (85')
Singleton (38'), Snoddy (48'), O'Connor (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Forsythe (22'), Hegarty (33'), O'Rourke (67'), Weir (69'), Caddell (90')
Weir (70')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
26.92%23.8%49.28%
Both teams to score 57.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93%44.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55%66.45%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1%29.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01%65.99%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01%17.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15%48.85%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 26.92%
    Crusaders 49.28%
    Draw 23.79%
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 6.73%
1-0 @ 6.49%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.92%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 5.77%
0-0 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-1 @ 9.23%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 5.46%
0-3 @ 4.52%
2-3 @ 3.3%
1-4 @ 2.34%
0-4 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 49.28%

rhs 2.0


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