NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Milltown
Warrenpoint0 - 3Glenavon
Byrne (28'), (59'), Moorhouse (61')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Fitzpatrick (29'), O'Connor (45' pen., 45+2')
Birney (58'), Waterworth (78'), Wallace (85'), Garrett (86')
Birney (58'), Waterworth (78'), Wallace (85'), Garrett (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Warrenpoint Town and Glenavon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.88%) and 1-3 (6.58%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Warrenpoint Town | Draw | Glenavon |
| 24.71% | 20.98% | 54.3% |
| Both teams to score 65.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.28% | 32.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.6% | 54.4% |
| Warrenpoint Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% | 25.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% | 60.32% |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.74% | 12.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.01% | 37.98% |
| Score Analysis |
Warrenpoint Town 24.71%
Glenavon 54.3%
Draw 20.98%
| Warrenpoint Town | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 6.13% 1-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 2.93% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 3.12% 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.98% | 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 6.58% 0-1 @ 6.56% 0-3 @ 4.82% 2-3 @ 4.5% 1-4 @ 3.46% 0-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 2.36% 1-5 @ 1.45% 3-4 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 1.06% 2-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 54.3% |


