Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.