Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.