MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 03:12:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 1
Newry City AFC

Ebbe (31'), Owens (63'), Forsythe (80')
Lowry (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carville (77' pen.)
Donnelly (45+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 4-2 Crusaders
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Coleraine
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 85.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 4.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 4-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.61%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawNewry City AFC
85.93% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24) 9.73% (0.137 0.14) 4.34% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 43.19% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.48% (-0.14 -0.14)28.53% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.61% (-0.175 -0.17)49.39% (0.177 0.18)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.49% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)4.51% (0.0661 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.52% (-0.199 -0.2)18.49% (0.202 0.2)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.23% (0.328 0.33)54.77% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.26% (0.199 0.2)87.74% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 85.92%
    Newry City AFC 4.34%
    Draw 9.73%
CrusadersDrawNewry City AFC
3-0 @ 12.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.49% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.38% (0.033 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.065 0.06)
5-0 @ 5.88% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 5.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
5-1 @ 3.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-0 @ 3.04% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.032 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.017 0.02)
7-0 @ 1.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 85.92%
1-1 @ 4.61% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.47% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.15% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 9.73%
0-1 @ 1.49% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.39% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.34%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
4-0
Newry City AFC
Heatley (7'), Lowry (41', 76'), Joe Burns (61')

Donnelly (13')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Newry City AFC
1-2
Crusaders
Hughes (21')
(27')
Lowry (64'), Larmour (67')
(40'), (53'), (58')
Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 2, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield19132438162241
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2010372723433
3CliftonvilleCliftonville199462719831
4PortadownPortadown199462719831
5GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
6CrusadersCrusaders188372323027
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena1990102223-127
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall2034132048-2813


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