NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Crusaders
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
Newry City AFC
  • Dean Ebbe 31' goal
  • Jordan Owens 63' goal
  • Jordan Forsythe 80' goal
  • goal Declan Carville 77'

Crusaders vs Newry City AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Glenavon 4 - 2 Crusaders
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Philip Lowry

Newry City AFC

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Newry City AFC 1 - 2 Coleraine
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
James Teelan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 85.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 4.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 4-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.61%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 85.93% ▼ (-0.24)
Draw 9.73% ▲ (+0.14)
Newry City AFC 4.34% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.19% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.48% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 28.53% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 50.61% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 49.39% ▲ (+0.18)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 95.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 4.51% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 81.52% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 18.49% ▲ (+0.21)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5 45.23% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 0.5 54.77% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 12.26% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 87.74% ▼ (-0.20)

Score analysis

Crusaders 85.92%
Draw 9.73%
Newry City AFC 4.34%
Crusaders
3-0 @ 12.25% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
7-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 85.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 9.73%
Newry City AFC
0-1 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.34%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Crusaders
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Seaview
Newry City AFC
  • Paul Heatley 7' goal
  • Philip Lowry 41' goal
  • Billy Joe Burns 61' goal
  • Philip Lowry 76' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Newry City AFC
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Crusaders
  • Daniel Hughes 21' goal
  • 27' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 40'
  • yellowcard 53'
  • yellowcard 58'
  • goal Philip Lowry 64'
  • goal Daniel Larmour 67'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Newry City AFC
Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds (Newry)
Crusaders
  • goal David Cushley 6'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Newry City AFC
Nov 2, 2018 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds (Newry)
Crusaders
  • goal Rory Patterson 49'
  • goal Paul Heatley 78'
  • goal Paul Heatley 95'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Crusaders
Sep 15, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview (Belfast)
Newry City AFC
  • Paul Heatley 59' goal

Form Data

Glenavon 4 - 2 Crusaders
Carrick 0 - 3 Crusaders
Crusaders 3 - 0 Cliftonville
Coleraine 2 - 0 Crusaders
Crusaders 3 - 2 Glentoran
Linfield 0 - 0 Crusaders
Newry City AFC 1 - 2 Coleraine
Dungannon 2 - 0 Newry City AFC
Larne 2 - 0 Newry City AFC
Newry City AFC 3 - 0 Portadown
Cliftonville 2 - 0 Newry City AFC
Crusaders 4 - 0 Newry City AFC