Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
2 - 0
Portadown

Bolger (20'), Thomson (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 4-1 Portadown
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 87.75%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 3.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.85%) and 4-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Larne in this match.

Result
LarneDrawPortadown
87.75% (-2.15 -2.15)9.25% (1.4909 1.49)3.01% (0.6581 0.66)
Both teams to score 31.86% (1.132 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.92% (-3.512 -3.51)35.08% (3.511 3.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.92% (-4.022 -4.02)57.08% (4.021 4.02)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.68% (-0.99900000000001 -1)5.32% (0.9979 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.06% (-3.028 -3.03)20.94% (3.026 3.03)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.65% (1.534 1.53)66.35% (-1.535 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.43% (0.6129 0.61)93.57% (-0.614 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Larne 87.74%
    Portadown 3.01%
    Draw 9.25%
LarneDrawPortadown
2-0 @ 15.19% (0.71 0.71)
3-0 @ 14.85% (-0.31 -0.31)
4-0 @ 10.89% (-1.01 -1.01)
1-0 @ 10.36% (1.139 1.14)
5-0 @ 6.39% (-1.088 -1.09)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.623 0.62)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.221 0.22)
4-1 @ 4.47% (-0.143 -0.14)
6-0 @ 3.12% (-0.791 -0.79)
5-1 @ 2.62% (-0.276 -0.28)
7-0 @ 1.31% (-0.447 -0.45)
6-1 @ 1.28% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 87.74%
1-1 @ 4.25% (0.677 0.68)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.596 0.6)
2-2 @ 1.28% (0.192 0.19)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 9.25%
0-1 @ 1.45% (0.311 0.31)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 3.01%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Portadown
0-5
Larne
Millar (32'), Doherty (40', 52'), Bonis (50'), Bolger (53')
A (35')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Portadown
0-1
Larne
O'Neill (29')
Donnelly (59')
Jan 29, 2022 5.30pm
Larne
4-0
Portadown
Bonis (24', 62'), Balmer (58'), Nasseri (72')

Ruddy (79')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Portadown
2-2
Larne
Salley (9', 71')
Tipton (44'), Barr (90+2')
Hale (21' pen.), McDaid (89')
(53'), (63')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Portadown
2-3
Larne
Croskery (66'), Hall (90+3')
Bonis (61'), McLeod (83')
Jarvis (8'), Randall (28'), Lynch (90+2')
(84')