Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.