NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 0
Newry City AFC

FT
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 3-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Newry City AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Glentoran
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewry City AFC
62.56% (0.053999999999995 0.05)19.79% (-0.189 -0.19)17.65% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 58.32% (0.982 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.07% (1.148 1.15)36.93% (-1.144 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.89% (1.233 1.23)59.11% (-1.228 -1.23)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.35899999999999 0.36)11.31% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.77100000000001 0.77)35.96% (-0.766 -0.77)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.848 0.85)34.24% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (0.899 0.9)70.93% (-0.896 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 62.56%
    Newry City AFC 17.65%
    Draw 19.79%
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewry City AFC
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.098 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.065 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.025 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 62.56%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.101 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.79%
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 17.65%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Newry City AFC
3-2
Ballymena
Healy (17'), Hughes (36'), Healy (90+2')
Nelson (7'), Strain (76')
Henderson (53')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Ballymena
3-0
Newry City AFC
Place (19' pen.), Gibson (52'), McDaid (88')

Carville (25')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Ballymena
3-1
Newry City AFC
Friel (55'), Mayse (67'), Lecky (81')
McCabe (63')
Carville (68')
Nov 23, 2018 8pm
Newry City AFC
1-2
Ballymena
Montgomery (68')
Coleman (61')
Lecky (36'), McGrory (44')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Ballymena
3-0
Newry City AFC
Millar (11'), Lecky (63'), McGrory (90')