Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.