NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 0
Dungannon

McGrory (52' pen.), McDaid (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 2-0 Glentoran
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 0-0 Dungannon
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
55.82% (-0.701 -0.7)22.36% (0.153 0.15)21.82% (0.549 0.55)
Both teams to score 56.58% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (-0.229 -0.23)15.12% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.31% (-0.437 -0.44)43.68% (0.438 0.44)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.512 0.51)33.34% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (0.558 0.56)69.96% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 55.82%
    Dungannon Swifts 21.82%
    Draw 22.36%
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.67% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 55.82%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.114 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 21.82%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Dungannon
1-1
Ballymena
O'Connor (29')
McDaid (36')
Whiteside (19')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
0-2
Ballymena
Kelly (51'), Keeley (88')
Tweed (14')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Dungannon
1-2
Ballymena
McMullan (50' og.)
Campbell (45')
McElroy (87'), McGrory (90+2' pen.)
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
1-0
Dungannon
McCullough (88')
Graham (54')

McGinty (43'), McGee (45+1'), Mayse (59'), McKendry (76')
Mayse (73')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Dungannon
0-2
Ballymena

McGinty (24'), Mayse (56'), Smyth (73')
Kane (22'), McElroy (90+6')
McGrory (15'), Wilson (64')