Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.