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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 29
Feb 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 3
Glentoran

Graham (28')
McCullough (43'), Redman (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Donnelly (42'), Donnelly (56', 58')
Plum (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 1-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Glentoran

All competitions
Last Game: Glentoran 3-0 Linfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlentoran
18.96% (1.009 1.01) 23.92% (0.758 0.76) 57.11% (-1.773 -1.77)
Both teams to score 47.3% (-0.483 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (-1.566 -1.57)52.77% (1.559 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (-1.354 -1.35)74.4% (1.349 1.35)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.89% (0.262 0.26)42.11% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.47% (0.227 0.23)78.53% (-0.233 -0.23)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-1.215 -1.22)18.3% (1.21 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-2.099 -2.1)49.37% (2.093 2.09)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 18.96%
    Glentoran 57.1%
    Draw 23.92%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.446 0.45)
2-1 @ 4.89% (0.178 0.18)
2-0 @ 2.88% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 1.41% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.96%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.464 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 13.08% (0.29 0.29)
0-2 @ 11.11% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-3 @ 6.29% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-4 @ 2.67% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 57.1%

Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Ballymena
2-0
Glentoran
Graham (24'), Strain (84')
Place (29')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
1-1
Glentoran
Strain (49')
Graham (57'), Millar (78'), Kelly (80')
Donnelly (55' pen.)
McDaid (65'), Marron (85')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Glentoran
4-0
Ballymena
Donnelly (1', 45+9'), McMenamin (71'), Cushnie (90+1')
Crowe (88')

McCullough (56')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
Glentoran
4-1
Ballymena
McDaid (17'), McMenamin (22', 62', 71')
Plum (48')
Millar (40')
Winchester (48'), Bramall (61'), Redman (66'), Chapman (76')
Apr 6, 2021 7.30pm
Ballymena
2-2
Glentoran
McCartan (78', 86' pen.)
Kane (2'), B (70')
Clucas (14', 74')
Gallagher (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield18122435161938
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1894527171031
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon199372623330
4PortadownPortadown188462519628
5GlentoranGlentoran198472118328
6CrusadersCrusaders178362220227
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena189092222027
8ColeraineColeraine197573227526
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1853102030-1018
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall1933132048-2812
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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