Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 82.08%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 5.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.04%) and 1-0 (11.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Linfield in this match.