Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.