Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.