NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
  • Jordan Forsythe 6' goal
  • Philip Lowry 59' goal

Crusaders vs Linfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
Larne 0 - 0 Crusaders
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Philip Lowry

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
Linfield 3 - 0 Ballymena
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Eetu Vertainen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 44.89% (+1.38)
Draw 26.27% (-0.58)
Linfield 28.85% (-0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.97% (+1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.72% (+1.89)
Under 2.5 53.28% (-1.89)
Over 3.5 25.17% (+1.58)
Under 3.5 74.83% (-1.58)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 76.35% (+1.52)
Under 0.5 23.65% (-1.52)
Over 1.5 42.26% (+2.14)
Under 1.5 57.74% (-2.14)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5 66.75% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 33.25% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 30.14% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 69.86% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Crusaders 44.88%
Draw 26.26%
Linfield 28.85%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.35)
2-1 @ 9% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 8.17% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.33% (+0.29)
3-0 @ 3.93% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.19)
4-1 @ 1.56% (+0.17)
4-0 @ 1.42% (+0.14)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.61)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.26%
Linfield
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.57)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.26)
1-3 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2022 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Philip Lowry 59' goal
  • Jordan Forsythe 82' goal
  • goal Joel Cooper 47'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview
  • Jordan Forsythe 45' goal
  • goal Jimmy Callacher 35'
  • yellowcard Eetu Vertainen 51'
  • goal Ethan Devine 70'
  • yellowcard 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Chris McKee 20' goal
  • Chris Shields 45'+1' goal
  • 58' yellowcard
  • Chris Shields 82' yellowcard
  • Ethan Devine 90'+4' goal
  • goal Jonathan McMurray 25'
  • yellowcard 45'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 59'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jonathan McMurray 25' yellowcard
  • Paul Heatley 51' goal
  • Declan Caddell 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Robinson 73' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 83' goal
  • goal Christy Manzinga 42'
  • yellowcard Christy Manzinga 62'
  • yellowcard Jordan Stewart 79'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christy Manzinga 31' goal
  • Christy Manzinga 52' goal
  • 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 24'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Frazer 26'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 90'+5'