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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 0
Linfield

Forsythe (6'), Lowry (59')
Lowry (42'), Winchester (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Palmer (65'), Shields (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 3-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLinfield
44.89% (1.375 1.38) 26.27% (-0.579 -0.58) 28.85% (-0.792 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.97% (1.304 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (1.887 1.89)53.28% (-1.885 -1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (1.578 1.58)74.83% (-1.576 -1.58)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (1.513 1.51)23.65% (-1.51 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (2.133 2.13)57.74% (-2.13 -2.13)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.393 0.39)33.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.431 0.43)69.86% (-0.428 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 44.88%
    Linfield 28.85%
    Draw 26.26%
CrusadersDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.287 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.166 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.601 -0.6)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 5.30pm
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Lowry (59'), Forsythe (82')
Cooper (47')
Cooper (39')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Forsythe (45')
Callacher (35'), Devine (70')
Vertainen (51'), (85')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Linfield
3-2
Crusaders
McKee (20'), Shields (45+1' pen.), Devine (90+4')
(58'), Shields (82')
McMurray (25'), Kennedy (59' pen.)
(45'), (45+3')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Heatley (51'), Kennedy (83')
McMurray (25'), Caddell (64'), Robinson (73')
Manzinga (42')
Manzinga (62'), Stewart (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield18122435161938
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1894527171031
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon199372623330
4PortadownPortadown188462519628
5GlentoranGlentoran198472118328
6CrusadersCrusaders178362220227
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena189092222027
8ColeraineColeraine197573227526
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1853102030-1018
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall1933132048-2812


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