NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 29
Feb 18, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
3 - 1
Glenavon

Teggart (3'), O'Sullivan (71', 89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wallace (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Portadown
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-2 Crusaders
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Portadown win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
PortadownDrawGlenavon
15.48% (0.054 0.05)18.25% (0.063000000000002 0.06)66.27% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 59.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.31% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)33.69% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.49% (-0.223 -0.22)55.51% (0.22 0.22)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)34.73% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)71.46% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)9.47% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.22% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)31.78% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 15.48%
    Glenavon 66.27%
    Draw 18.25%
PortadownDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 4.33% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.48% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.84% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 15.48%
1-1 @ 8.2% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.29% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 18.25%
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.14% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.59% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 66.27%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
2-1
Portadown
Fitzpatrick (49', 76')
Baird (4')
McKeown (68')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Portadown
1-1
Glenavon
Conaty (42')
Haughey (52')
Haughey (4')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
1-0
Portadown
Wallace (14')
Fitzpatrick (48'), Birney (51'), Garrett (90')

Hall (27'), Tipton (36'), Salley (90+2'), Conaty (90+4')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
3-0
Portadown
Singleton (15'), Haughey (35'), McCloskey (44')

Finnegan (42'), Conaty (54'), Teggart (65')
Mashigo (52')
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Portadown
0-1
Glenavon

Ruddy (24'), McLeod (58')
Campbell (37')
Wallace (58'), Hall (73'), Taylor (85')
Campbell (38'), Garrett (43')