Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 71.67%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.