Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Glenavon win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.