NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Newry City AFC
0 - 1
Glenavon

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doran (39')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newry City AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Glenavon 0-2 Newry City AFC
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Glentoran 0-0 Glenavon
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glenavon in this match.

Result
Newry City AFC	Draw	Glenavon
27.27% ( -0.73)	24.32% ( -0.12)	48.4% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 56.05% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88% (

0.03)

46.12% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58% (

0.03)

68.42% (

-0.03)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.31% (

-0.53)

30.69% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05% (

-0.63)

66.95% (

0.63)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

0.37)

19.13% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22% (

0.6)

50.77% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Newry City AFC 27.27%

Glenavon 48.4%

Draw 24.32%

Newry City AFC	Draw	Glenavon
1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.27%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.4%