Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glenavon in this match.