Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.