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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 0
Dungannon

Forsythe (20' pen.), Heatley (56'), Lecky (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knowles (28'), McGee (37'), Scott (71'), Scott (80')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 2-0 Crusaders
Monday, January 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 0-3 Coleraine
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 85.18%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 4.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
85.18% (0.0069999999999908 0.01) 10.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0) 4.33% (-0.0058999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.2% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.17% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.07% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.92% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)5.47% (0.0030999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.64% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)21.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)58.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.12% (-0.02 -0.02)89.88% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 85.17%
    Dungannon Swifts 4.33%
    Draw 10.49%
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
2-0 @ 13.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 13.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 9.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 5.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
6-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
7-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 85.17%
1-1 @ 4.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (0.004 0)
2-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 10.49%
0-1 @ 1.71%
1-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 4.33%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
0-2
Crusaders

O'Connor (13')
Lowry (1'), Larmour (48')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
5-1
Dungannon
Heatley (7', 68'), Barr (37' og.), Kennedy (48', 65')
Campbell (45+2')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
2-4
Crusaders
Campbell (4'), Gallagher (90+3')
Breen (10'), Knowles (36'), (88')
Lecky (11'), Heatley (25', 80'), Doyle (86')
Thompson (55')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
4-0
Dungannon
Robinson (24'), Clarke (25'), Kennedy (45+1', 61')
Joe Burns (42'), Weir (80')

McGinty (42'), Quinn (80'), Glynn (80')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Dungannon
0-2
Crusaders

Cowan (35'), Knowles (37'), McGee (41'), Mayse (84'), Smyth (88')
Lecky (18'), Caddell (43')
Heatley (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield19132438162241
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2010372723433
3CliftonvilleCliftonville199462719831
4PortadownPortadown199462719831
5GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
6CrusadersCrusaders188372323027
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena1990102223-127
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall2034132048-2813


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