Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.