Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.