NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Ballymena
Apr 3, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
Glenavon
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 18'

Ballymena United vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Larne 1 - 0 Ballymena
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
David McDaid

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Glenavon 2 - 1 Coleraine
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Matt Fitzpatrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result

Ballymena United 31.88% ▲ (+1.00)
Draw 24.31% ▼ (-0.12)
Glenavon 43.81% ▼ (-0.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.99% ▲ (+0.90)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.46% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 2.5 43.54% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 3.5 34.06% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 3.5 65.93% ▼ (-0.95)
Over 4.5 17.57% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 4.5 82.43% ▼ (-0.69)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 73.76% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 0.5 26.24% ▼ (-1.11)
Over 1.5 38.66% ▲ (+1.46)
Under 1.5 61.34% ▼ (-1.46)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 79.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.24% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 31.88%
Draw 24.3%
Glenavon 43.81%
Ballymena United
2-1 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.16)
1-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 31.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.3%
Glenavon
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.36)
0-2 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 43.81%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 13
Glenavon
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mourneview Park
Ballymena
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 50' goal
  • Danny Wallace 58' goal
  • Jack Malone 67' goal
  • goal Jordan Gibson 23'
  • goal Conor Keeley 61'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Ballymena
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Showgrounds
Glenavon
  • Paul McElroy 4' goal
  • Steven McCullough 10' yellowcard
  • Jordan Gibson 32' goal
  • Ross Redman 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calum Birney 31'
  • goal Peter Campbell 45'+1'
  • redcard Eoin Bradley 55'
  • redcard Andrew Doyle 60'
  • goal Aaron Prendergast 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Glenavon
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mourneview Park
Ballymena
  • Matthew Snoddy 24' yellowcard
  • Calum Birney 28' yellowcard
  • Calum Birney 44' goal
  • Danny Wallace 55' redcard
  • Peter Campbell 73' goal
  • Peter Campbell 75' goal
  • Joshua Clarke 88' yellowcard
  • Robert Garrett 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kym Nelson 25'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kelly 40'
  • yellowcard Leroy Millar 43'
  • yellowcard Ross Redman 65'
  • yellowcard Kym Nelson 70'
  • redcard Leroy Millar 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Ballymena
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Glenavon
  • Mikey Place 12' goal
  • Ryan Strain 45' yellowcard
  • Conor Keeley 45'+1' goal
  • Conor Keeley 56' yellowcard
  • Conor Keeley 56' redcard
  • Ross Redman 57' yellowcard
  • Leroy Millar 70' yellowcard
  • Paul McElroy 80' goal
  • Mikey Place 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 7'
  • yellowcard Calum Birney 40'
  • yellowcard Danny Wallace 45'
  • goal Peter Campbell 46'
  • redcard Danny Wallace 56'
  • yellowcard Matt Fitzpatrick 56'
  • goal Conor McCloskey 69'
  • redcard Robert Garrett 72'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Glenavon
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Ballymena
  • Mark Stafford 46' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 69' yellowcard
  • James Singleton 80' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Kane 34'
  • yellowcard Ryan Strain 56'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Ballymena
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Glenavon
  • Christopher Rodgers 86' yellowcard
  • Ryan Strain 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Sean Ward 31'
  • yellowcard Danny Wallace 50'
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 51'
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 69'

Form Data

Larne 1 - 0 Ballymena
Glentoran 1 - 0 Ballymena
Coleraine 3 - 1 Ballymena
Ballymena 0 - 0 Crusaders
Ballymena 0 - 3 Larne
Ballymena 1 - 3 Glentoran
Glenavon 2 - 1 Coleraine
Glentoran 0 - 2 Glenavon
Newry City AFC 0 - 1 Glenavon
Glentoran 0 - 0 Glenavon
Glenavon 0 - 2 Newry City AFC
Portadown 3 - 1 Glenavon