NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 1
Glenavon

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fitzpatrick (18')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 1-0 Ballymena
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Coleraine
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
31.88% (0.993 0.99)24.31% (-0.119 -0.12)43.81% (-0.878 -0.88)
Both teams to score 58.99% (0.89 0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (0.958 0.96)43.54% (-0.963 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (0.936 0.94)65.93% (-0.941 -0.94)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (1.102 1.1)26.24% (-1.107 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (1.451 1.45)61.34% (-1.457 -1.46)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.03% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)52.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 31.88%
    Glenavon 43.81%
    Draw 24.3%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.158 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.88%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.129 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 43.81%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Glenavon
3-2
Ballymena
Fitzpatrick (50'), Wallace (58'), Malone (67' pen.)
Gibson (23'), Keeley (61')
(67')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
2-2
Glenavon
McElroy (4'), Gibson (32')
McCullough (10'), Redman (33')
Campbell (45+1'), Prendergast (90+4')
Birney (31')
Bradley (55'), Doyle (60')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
3-1
Ballymena
Birney (44'), Campbell (73', 75')
Snoddy (24'), Birney (28'), Clarke (88'), Garrett (90+2')
Wallace (55')
Nelson (25')
Kelly (40'), Millar (43'), Redman (65'), Nelson (70')
Millar (90+2'), Millar (90+2')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
3-3
Glenavon
Place (12'), Keeley (45+1'), McElroy (80')
Strain (45'), Keeley (56'), Redman (57'), Millar (70'), Place (90+2')
Keeley (56')
Fitzpatrick (7'), Campbell (46'), McCloskey (69')
Birney (40'), Wallace (45'), Fitzpatrick (56')
Wallace (56'), Garrett (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
0-1
Ballymena

Stafford (46'), O'Connor (69'), Singleton (80')
Kane (34')
Strain (56')