Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 74.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.