NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
  • Andy Ryan 44' goal

Larne vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Larne 0 - 0 Linfield
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Glentoran 1 - 0 Ballymena
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
David McDaid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 74.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 8.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result

Larne 74.28% (+0.16)
Draw 16.79% (-0.14)
Ballymena United 8.92% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.44% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.58% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 44.41% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 33.21% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 66.78% (-0.51)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 89.63% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 10.37% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 66.13% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 33.86% (-0.41)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 47.34% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 52.65% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 13.57% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 86.42% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Larne 74.28%
Draw 16.79%
Ballymena United 8.92%
Larne
2-0 @ 14.02% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 8.99% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 6% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.85% (+0.07)
5-0 @ 2.72% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.75% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.24% (+0.04)
6-0 @ 1.03% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 74.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.94% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 2.89% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 16.79%
Ballymena United
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 8.92%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 20
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • goal Lee Bonis 40'
  • goal Ryan Strain 46' (OG)
  • goal Andy Ryan 73'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
  • Paul O'Neill 15' yellowcard
  • Paul O'Neill 42' goal
  • Mark Randall 45' yellowcard
  • Paul O'Neill 79' goal
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Albert Watson 90' goal
  • redcard Steven McCullough 48'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ben Doherty 18' goal
  • Albert Watson 57' yellowcard
  • Ben Doherty 64' yellowcard
  • goal David Parkhouse 4'
  • goal Leroy Millar 58'
  • goal David Parkhouse 69'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jude Winchester 26' yellowcard
  • Brendan Barr 54' yellowcard
  • Conor Keeley 58' goal
  • Paul McElroy 75' goal
  • Leroy Millar 89' yellowcard
  • goal David McDaid 51'
  • yellowcard Ronan Hale 52'
  • yellowcard Fuad Sule 56'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 86'
  • yellowcard Lee Lynch 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Caolan Loughran 30' yellowcard
  • Jude Winchester 38' yellowcard
  • Conor Keeley 53' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Randall 2'
  • goal Mark Randall 36'
  • yellowcard John Herron 39'
  • yellowcard Kofi Balmer 42'
  • goal Navid Nasseri 64'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Albert Watson 35' goal
  • Conor Keeley 72' yellowcard
  • goal Ronan Hale 68'
  • yellowcard Andy Mitchell 90'+3'